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US Crude Oil Might Break $70 by Next Week

US Crude Oil Might Break $70 by Next Week

On October 11, US crude oil’s implied volatility was 26.2%, which is ~3% above its 15-day average. The inverse relationship between oil prices and oil’s implied volatility is illustrated in the following graph. Since reaching a 12-year low in February 2016, US crude oil active futures have risen 170.8%. Crude oil’s implied volatility has fallen ~65.2% since February 11, 2016.