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Analyst Says Meta Platforms (META) Has ‘Plenty of Levers’ to Capture Gains

We recently published a list of 10 Trending AI Stocks to Watch in September. Since Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) ranks 3rd on the list, it deserves a deeper look.

Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, said while talking to CNBC in a latest program that since 1990, the market on average gains about 18% between the last rate hike and the first rate cut. However, during the 30 days after the first rate cut, the market historically “tread water,” gaining less than “one half of one percent.”

“Most of the action is below surface however, in the sectors, areas where a lot of the leaders be in the defensive areas but I have to add technology in there because investors don’t want to be giving up on the growth,” Stovall said.

Stovall pointed to another important historical data point regarding election years. He said that usually August and September are slow months in the stock market, but during election years the trend shifts to September and October, with markets historically rebounding in November and December once the uncertainty around the election subsides. The analyst recommended investors to position for a post-election rally which he believes buoys growth stocks.

For this article, we chose the top 10 AI stocks currently on investors’ radar following important news, earnings and analyst ratings. With each stock, we have mentioned the number of hedge fund investors. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

Is Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) Trending AI Stock to Watch in September?
Is Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) Trending AI Stock to Watch in September?

Photo by Timothy Hales Bennett on Unsplash

Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META)

Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 219

Cantor Fitzgerald recently said in a note that Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) has “plenty of levers” to capture share gains. The firm added the stock to its top picks list and gave an Overweight rating.

Cantor Fitzgerald believes AI deployment can deliver incremental engagement, monetization, and revenue growth over the next 2–3 years.

Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) continues to gain attention from Wall Street analysts thanks to its explosive AI potential.

D.A. Davidson analysts started covering Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) with a “buy” rating, naming it a top pick among mega-cap stocks. They believe Meta is positioned to lead in open source for two key tech platforms: AI Foundation Compute and Spatial Compute.

D.A. Davidson analysts said that while past tech innovation was driven by startups, the scale and capital required for AI and Spatial computing mean only megacap companies can dominate. While companies like Alphabet, Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft are focused on closed platforms, Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) leads the open-source side.

The firm praised Meta’s open-sourcing of AI tools like Llama, PyTorch, and FAISS, which they say has positioned the company as the leader in AI foundational model compute. Meta Platforms Inc’s (NASDAQ:META) advancements in AI have already improved ad delivery and returns, making it easier to justify its AI investments and open-source strategy.

On Spatial computing, D.A. Davidson pointed to Meta Platforms Inc’s (NASDAQ:META) heavy spending on Reality Labs as strengthening its position as the open-source counterpart to Apple’s closed ecosystem. They also commended CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s leadership in navigating challenges.

Davidson set a price target of $600 for Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META).

Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) crushed past analyst estimates for its latest quarterly results, giving signs that the huge AI spending it’s doing would bear more results in the future.

The market has been reluctant about Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) massive spending on AI. What does Meta want to achieve with its AI spending? The company wants to use AI to improve engagement and language models like Llama 3 to improve user interactions, boost engagement, and better monetize its 3.2 billion daily active users.

But can Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) sustain this high spending? The company’s free cash flow margin is around 30%, and it’s well on track to report $50 billion in free cash flow this year. Based on this target the stock is trading at around 26 times this year’s free cash flow. Given the current trajectory continues Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) can post $58 billion in free cash flow by next year, which means the stock is trading at 21 times next year’s free cash flow. With a whopping $35 billion in net cash, a strong user base, and a key position in the consumer-facing side of the AI industry, Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) could be a solid long-term investment.

Mar Vista Focus strategy stated the following regarding Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:META) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:

“During the quarter, we established new investments in Broadcom and Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:META). We previously divested from Meta during a period of stagnant advertising growth and the company’s initial, significant investment in the metaverse project. At that time, investors appeared complacent to the risks associated to an increasingly competitive landscape, and the Street’s robust financial expectations as the company transitioned towards monetizing short-format video (Reels). The subsequent decline in Meta’s stock price during 2022 reflected these concerns.

Since then, Meta has demonstrably shifted its strategic focus. The company has prioritized operational efficiency, implemented strategies to monetize Reels effectively, and initiated a robust artificial intelligence (AI) development program. We believe the focus on AI represents a more prudent capital allocation strategy compared to the earlier metaverse initiative. Meta AI holds significant potential to unlock substantial monetization opportunities and enhance user engagement, while maintaining tight controls on operating costs…” (Click here to read the full text)

Overall, Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) ranks 3rd on Insider Monkey’s list titled 10 Trending AI Stocks to Watch in September. While we acknowledge the potential of Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META), our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than META but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: Analyst Sees a New $25 Billion “Opportunity” for NVIDIA and Jim Cramer is Recommending These Stocks.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.