Advertisement
New Zealand markets open in 9 hours 23 minutes
  • NZX 50

    11,946.43
    +143.15 (+1.21%)
     
  • NZD/USD

    0.5950
    +0.0013 (+0.21%)
     
  • NZD/EUR

    0.5551
    +0.0005 (+0.10%)
     
  • ALL ORDS

    7,937.50
    -0.40 (-0.01%)
     
  • ASX 200

    7,683.00
    -0.50 (-0.01%)
     
  • OIL

    83.27
    +0.46 (+0.56%)
     
  • GOLD

    2,338.90
    +0.50 (+0.02%)
     
  • NASDAQ

    17,526.80
    +55.33 (+0.32%)
     
  • FTSE

    8,103.01
    +62.63 (+0.78%)
     
  • Dow Jones

    38,460.92
    -42.77 (-0.11%)
     
  • DAX

    17,999.83
    -88.87 (-0.49%)
     
  • Hang Seng

    17,284.54
    +83.27 (+0.48%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    37,628.48
    -831.60 (-2.16%)
     
  • NZD/JPY

    92.4430
    +0.3280 (+0.36%)
     

Century Aluminum's (NASDAQ:CENX) investors will be pleased with their splendid 139% return over the last three years

Century Aluminum Company (NASDAQ:CENX) shareholders have seen the share price descend 12% over the month. In contrast, the return over three years has been impressive. Indeed, the share price is up a very strong 139% in that time. So the recent fall in the share price should be viewed in that context. The thing to consider is whether the underlying business is doing well enough to support the current price.

Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.

View our latest analysis for Century Aluminum

Because Century Aluminum made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

ADVERTISEMENT

Century Aluminum's revenue trended up 21% each year over three years. That's well above most pre-profit companies. Meanwhile, the share price performance has been pretty solid at 34% compound over three years. But it does seem like the market is paying attention to strong revenue growth. That's not to say we think the share price is too high. In fact, it might be worth keeping an eye on this one.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Century Aluminum shareholders are down 69% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 13%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 8% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Century Aluminum , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course Century Aluminum may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Join A Paid User Research Session
You’ll receive a US$30 Amazon Gift card for 1 hour of your time while helping us build better investing tools for the individual investors like yourself. Sign up here