Advertisement
New Zealand markets closed
  • NZX 50

    11,796.21
    -39.83 (-0.34%)
     
  • NZD/USD

    0.5901
    -0.0005 (-0.08%)
     
  • NZD/EUR

    0.5527
    -0.0018 (-0.32%)
     
  • ALL ORDS

    7,817.40
    -81.50 (-1.03%)
     
  • ASX 200

    7,567.30
    -74.80 (-0.98%)
     
  • OIL

    83.18
    +0.45 (+0.54%)
     
  • GOLD

    2,402.50
    +4.50 (+0.19%)
     
  • NASDAQ

    17,228.90
    -165.42 (-0.95%)
     
  • FTSE

    7,871.62
    -5.43 (-0.07%)
     
  • Dow Jones

    37,965.60
    +190.22 (+0.50%)
     
  • DAX

    17,723.16
    -114.24 (-0.64%)
     
  • Hang Seng

    16,224.14
    -161.73 (-0.99%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    37,068.35
    -1,011.35 (-2.66%)
     
  • NZD/JPY

    91.1750
    -0.0790 (-0.09%)
     

Have You Considered This Before Investing In Telstra Corporation Limited (ASX:TLS)?

Telstra Corporation Limited (ASX:TLS) shareholders, and potential investors, need to understand how much cash the business makes from its core operational activities, as well as how much is invested back into the business. This difference directly flows down to how much the stock is worth. Operating in the integrated telecommunication services industry, TLS is currently valued at AU$37.19b. I will take you through TLS’s cash flow health and the risk-return concept based on the stock’s cash flow yield, using the most recent financial data. This will help you think about the company from a cash perspective, which is a crucial factor to investing.

See our latest analysis for Telstra

What is free cash flow?

Telstra generates cash through its day-to-day business, which needs to be reinvested into the company in order for it to continue operating. What remains after this expenditure, is known as its free cash flow, or FCF, for short.

ADVERTISEMENT

There are two methods I will use to evaluate the quality of Telstra’s FCF: firstly, I will measure its FCF yield relative to the market index yield; secondly, I will examine whether its operating cash flow will continue to grow into the future, which will give us a sense of sustainability.

Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flows – Net Capital Expenditure

Free Cash Flow Yield = Free Cash Flow / Enterprise Value

where Enterprise Value = Market Capitalisation + Net Debt

Telstra’s yield of 4.09% indicates its sub-standard capacity to generate cash, compared to the stock market index as a whole, accounting for the size differential. This means investors are taking on more concentrated risk on Telstra but are not being adequately rewarded for doing so.

ASX:TLS Net Worth September 9th 18
ASX:TLS Net Worth September 9th 18

Is Telstra’s yield sustainable?

Does TLS’s future look brighter in terms of its ability to generate higher operating cash flows? This can be estimated by examining the trend of the company’s operating cash flow moving forward. Over the next three years, expected growth for TLS’s operating cash is negative, with operating cash flows expected to decline from its current level of AU$8.61b. This is unfavourable to its future outlook, especially if capital expenditure heads the opposite direction. However, breaking down growth into a year on year basis, TLS ‘s negative growth rate improves each year, from -12.8% in the upcoming year, to -1.6% by the end of the third year.

Next Steps:

Telstra’s low free cash flow yield is deterring, in addition to its negative growth prospects. This means that, as an investor, you would be rewarded less than just holding a portfolio made up of all the stocks in the market, as well as taking on higher risk! Keep in mind that cash is only one aspect of investment analysis and there are other important fundamentals to assess. I suggest you continue to research Telstra to get a better picture of the company by looking at:

  1. Valuation: What is TLS worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether TLS is currently mispriced by the market.

  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Telstra’s board and the CEO’s back ground.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: If you believe you should cushion your portfolio with something less risky, scroll through our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.