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Is Ctripcom International Ltd (NASDAQ:CTRP) Attractive At This PE Ratio?

This article is intended for those of you who are at the beginning of your investing journey and want to learn about the link between company’s fundamentals and stock market performance.

Ctripcom International Ltd (NASDAQ:CTRP) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 46.1, which is higher than the industry average of 27.5. Though this might seem to be a negative, you might change your mind after I explain the assumptions behind the P/E ratio. In this article, I will explain what the P/E ratio is as well as what you should look out for when using it.

See our latest analysis for Ctrip.com International

Demystifying the P/E ratio

NasdaqGS:CTRP PE PEG Gauge August 30th 18
NasdaqGS:CTRP PE PEG Gauge August 30th 18

The P/E ratio is a popular ratio used in relative valuation since earnings power is a key driver of investment value. By comparing a stock’s price per share to its earnings per share, we are able to see how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.

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P/E Calculation for CTRP

Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

CTRP Price-Earnings Ratio = CN¥270.16 ÷ CN¥5.86 = 46.1x

The P/E ratio isn’t a metric you view in isolation and only becomes useful when you compare it against other similar companies. We preferably want to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar features to CTRP, such as capital structure and profitability. One way of gathering a peer group is to use firms in the same industry, which is what I’ll do. Since CTRP’s P/E of 46.1 is higher than its industry peers (27.5), it means that investors are paying more for each dollar of CTRP’s earnings. This multiple is a median of profitable companies of 23 Online Retail companies in US including Jumei International Holding, Liberty Ventures and Liberty Ventures. You could think of it like this: the market is pricing CTRP as if it is a stronger company than the average of its industry group.

Assumptions to watch out for

However, you should be aware that this analysis makes certain assumptions. Firstly, that our peer group contains companies that are similar to CTRP. If this isn’t the case, the difference in P/E could be due to other factors. Take, for example, the scenario where Ctripcom International Ltd is growing profits more quickly than the average comparable company. In that case, the market may be correct to value it on a higher P/E ratio. We should also be aware that the stocks we are comparing to CTRP may not be fairly valued. Thus while we might conclude that it is richly valued relative to its peers, that could be explained by the peer group being undervalued.

What this means for you:

You may have already conducted fundamental analysis on the stock as a shareholder, so its current overvaluation could signal a potential selling opportunity to reduce your exposure to CTRP. Now that you understand the ins and outs of the PE metric, you should know to bear in mind its limitations before you make an investment decision. Remember that basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PE ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I urge you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for CTRP’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for CTRP’s outlook.

  2. Past Track Record: Has CTRP been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of CTRP’s historicals for more clarity.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.