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What Does The New Zealand Refining Company Limited's (NZSE:NZR) P/E Ratio Tell You?

The goal of this article is to teach you how to use price to earnings ratios (P/E ratios). We'll look at The New Zealand Refining Company Limited's (NZSE:NZR) P/E ratio and reflect on what it tells us about the company's share price. Based on the last twelve months, New Zealand Refining's P/E ratio is 20.26. That is equivalent to an earnings yield of about 4.9%.

Check out our latest analysis for New Zealand Refining

How Do You Calculate A P/E Ratio?

The formula for price to earnings is:

Price to Earnings Ratio = Share Price ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS)

Or for New Zealand Refining:

P/E of 20.26 = NZ$1.88 ÷ NZ$0.09 (Based on the year to June 2019.)

Is A High Price-to-Earnings Ratio Good?

A higher P/E ratio means that buyers have to pay a higher price for each NZ$1 the company has earned over the last year. All else being equal, it's better to pay a low price -- but as Warren Buffett said, 'It's far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price'.

How Does New Zealand Refining's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

The P/E ratio indicates whether the market has higher or lower expectations of a company. You can see in the image below that the average P/E (10.3) for companies in the oil and gas industry is lower than New Zealand Refining's P/E.

NZSE:NZR Price Estimation Relative to Market, January 2nd 2020
NZSE:NZR Price Estimation Relative to Market, January 2nd 2020

Its relatively high P/E ratio indicates that New Zealand Refining shareholders think it will perform better than other companies in its industry classification. Shareholders are clearly optimistic, but the future is always uncertain. So further research is always essential. I often monitor director buying and selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

If earnings fall then in the future the 'E' will be lower. Therefore, even if you pay a low multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become higher in the future. A higher P/E should indicate the stock is expensive relative to others -- and that may encourage shareholders to sell.

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New Zealand Refining saw earnings per share decrease by 28% last year. And it has shrunk its earnings per share by 33% per year over the last three years. This might lead to low expectations.

A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank

One drawback of using a P/E ratio is that it considers market capitalization, but not the balance sheet. That means it doesn't take debt or cash into account. Hypothetically, a company could reduce its future P/E ratio by spending its cash (or taking on debt) to achieve higher earnings.

Such expenditure might be good or bad, in the long term, but the point here is that the balance sheet is not reflected by this ratio.

New Zealand Refining's Balance Sheet

New Zealand Refining has net debt equal to 45% of its market cap. While it's worth keeping this in mind, it isn't a worry.

The Verdict On New Zealand Refining's P/E Ratio

New Zealand Refining has a P/E of 20.3. That's around the same as the average in the NZ market, which is 19.4. With modest debt, and a lack of recent growth, it would seem the market is expecting improvement in earnings.

Investors should be looking to buy stocks that the market is wrong about. If the reality for a company is better than it expects, you can make money by buying and holding for the long term. So this free visual report on analyst forecasts could hold the key to an excellent investment decision.

But note: New Zealand Refining may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.