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Dollar General Corporation (NYSE:DG): How Much Money Comes Back To Investors?

Dollar General Corporation (NYSE:DG) shareholders, and potential investors, need to understand how much cash the business makes from its core operational activities, as well as how much is invested back into the business. What is left after investment, determines the value of the stock since this cash flow technically belongs to investors of the company. I’ve analysed below, the health and outlook of DG’s cash flow, which will help you understand the stock from a cash standpoint. Cash is an important concept to grasp as an investor, as it directly impacts the value of your shares and the future growth potential of your portfolio.

See our latest analysis for Dollar General

What is Dollar General’s cash yield?

Free cash flow (FCF) is the amount of cash Dollar General has left after it pays off its expenses, including its net capital expenditures, which is what the company needs to spend each year to maintain or grow its business operations.

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The two ways to assess whether Dollar General’s FCF is sufficient, is to compare the FCF yield to the market index yield, as well as determine whether the top-line operating cash flows will continue to grow.

Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flows – Net Capital Expenditure

Free Cash Flow Yield = Free Cash Flow / Enterprise Value

where Enterprise Value = Market Capitalisation + Net Debt

Along with a positive operating cash flow, Dollar General also generates a positive free cash flow. However, the yield of 3.3% is not sufficient to compensate for the level of risk investors are taking on. This is because Dollar General’s yield is well-below the market yield, in addition to serving higher risk compared to the well-diversified market index.

NYSE:DG Net Worth October 29th 18
NYSE:DG Net Worth October 29th 18

What’s the cash flow outlook for Dollar General?

Does DG’s future look brighter in terms of its ability to generate higher operating cash flows? This can be estimated by examining the trend of the company’s operating cash flow moving forward. In the next couple of years, the company is expected to grow its cash from operations at a double-digit rate of 16%, ramping up from its current levels of US$2.1b to US$2.5b in three years’ time. Furthermore, breaking down growth into a year on year basis, DG is able to increase its growth rate each year, from -0.3% in the upcoming year, to 6.6% by the end of the third year. The overall picture seems encouraging, should capital expenditure levels maintain at an appropriate level.

Next Steps:

Given a low free cash flow yield, on the basis of cash, Dollar General becomes a less appealing investment. This is because you would be better compensated in terms of cash yield, by investing in the market index, as well as take on lower diversification risk. Now you know to keep cash flows in mind, You should continue to research Dollar General to get a better picture of the company by looking at:

  1. Valuation: What is DG worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether DG is currently mispriced by the market.

  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Dollar General’s board and the CEO’s back ground.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: If you believe you should cushion your portfolio with something less risky, scroll through our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.