Advertisement
New Zealand markets close in 18 minutes
  • NZX 50

    11,885.63
    +82.35 (+0.70%)
     
  • NZD/USD

    0.5945
    +0.0011 (+0.18%)
     
  • NZD/EUR

    0.5549
    +0.0008 (+0.15%)
     
  • ALL ORDS

    7,940.80
    +2.90 (+0.04%)
     
  • ASX 200

    7,685.10
    +1.60 (+0.02%)
     
  • OIL

    83.42
    +0.06 (+0.07%)
     
  • GOLD

    2,340.40
    -1.70 (-0.07%)
     
  • NASDAQ

    17,471.47
    +260.59 (+1.51%)
     
  • FTSE

    8,044.81
    +20.94 (+0.26%)
     
  • Dow Jones

    38,503.69
    +263.71 (+0.69%)
     
  • DAX

    18,137.65
    +276.85 (+1.55%)
     
  • Hang Seng

    17,110.21
    +281.28 (+1.67%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    38,365.99
    +813.83 (+2.17%)
     
  • NZD/JPY

    91.9610
    +0.1950 (+0.21%)
     

If You Had Bought Cavalier (NZSE:CAV) Stock Three Years Ago, You'd Be Sitting On A 66% Loss, Today

If you are building a properly diversified stock portfolio, the chances are some of your picks will perform badly. But the long term shareholders of Cavalier Corporation Limited (NZSE:CAV) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. So they might be feeling emotional about the 66% share price collapse, in that time. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 52% in a year. Furthermore, it's down 35% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

Check out our latest analysis for Cavalier

Cavalier wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

ADVERTISEMENT

In the last three years Cavalier saw its revenue shrink by 8.7% per year. That is not a good result. The share price decline of 30% compound, over three years, is understandable given the company doesn't have profits to boast of, and revenue is moving in the wrong direction. Having said that, if growth is coming in the future, now may be the low ebb for the company. We'd be pretty wary of this one until it makes a profit, because we don't specialize in finding turnaround situations.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

NZSE:CAV Income Statement May 25th 2020
NZSE:CAV Income Statement May 25th 2020

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

A Different Perspective

Cavalier shareholders are down 52% for the year, but the market itself is up 2.6%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 12% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Cavalier is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those can't be ignored...

But note: Cavalier may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on NZ exchanges.

Love or hate this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.