Advertisement
New Zealand markets closed
  • NZX 50

    11,946.43
    +143.15 (+1.21%)
     
  • NZD/USD

    0.5941
    +0.0004 (+0.07%)
     
  • NZD/EUR

    0.5546
    +0.0000 (+0.01%)
     
  • ALL ORDS

    7,937.50
    -0.40 (-0.01%)
     
  • ASX 200

    7,683.00
    -0.50 (-0.01%)
     
  • OIL

    82.91
    +0.10 (+0.12%)
     
  • GOLD

    2,326.00
    -12.40 (-0.53%)
     
  • NASDAQ

    17,526.80
    +55.33 (+0.32%)
     
  • FTSE

    8,040.38
    -4.43 (-0.06%)
     
  • Dow Jones

    38,460.92
    -42.77 (-0.11%)
     
  • DAX

    18,088.70
    -48.95 (-0.27%)
     
  • Hang Seng

    17,295.93
    +94.66 (+0.55%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    37,704.27
    -755.81 (-1.97%)
     
  • NZD/JPY

    92.3320
    +0.2170 (+0.24%)
     

If You Had Bought Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Stock Five Years Ago, You Could Pocket A 76% Gain Today

Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, long term Mercury NZ Limited (NZSE:MCY) shareholders have enjoyed a 76% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 47% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 24%, including dividends.

View our latest analysis for Mercury NZ

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

ADVERTISEMENT

Over half a decade, Mercury NZ managed to grow its earnings per share at 5.2% a year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 12% per year, over the same period. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

NZSE:MCY Past and Future Earnings, April 16th 2019
NZSE:MCY Past and Future Earnings, April 16th 2019

Dive deeper into Mercury NZ's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Mercury NZ's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Mercury NZ the TSR over the last 5 years was 149%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Mercury NZ has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 24% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 20%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. Most investors take the time to check the data on insider transactions. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

But note: Mercury NZ may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on NZ exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.