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Can You Imagine How Argosy Property’s (NZSE:ARG) Shareholders Feel About The 37% Share Price Increase?

When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Argosy Property Limited (NZSE:ARG) share price is up 37% in the last five years, that’s less than the market return. However, if you include the dividends then the return is market beating. However, more recent buyers should be happy with the increase of 24% over the last year.

View our latest analysis for Argosy Property

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

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Over half a decade, Argosy Property managed to grow its earnings per share at 12% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 6.4% over the same period. So one could conclude that the broader market has become more cautious towards the stock. The reasonably low P/E ratio of 7.29 also suggests market apprehension.

The company’s earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

NZSE:ARG Past and Future Earnings, March 19th 2019
NZSE:ARG Past and Future Earnings, March 19th 2019

We know that Argosy Property has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising. It’s fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Argosy Property, it has a TSR of 86% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It’s good to see that Argosy Property has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 31% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That’s better than the annualised return of 13% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. Keeping this in mind, a solid next step might be to take a look at Argosy Property’s dividend track record. This free interactive graph is a great place to start.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on NZ exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.