Loss-Making Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) Set To Breakeven
Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) is possibly approaching a major achievement in its business, so we would like to shine some light on the company. Novavax, Inc., a biotechnology company, that promotes improved health by discovering, developing, and commercializing vaccines to protect against serious infectious diseases. With the latest financial year loss of US$545m and a trailing-twelve-month loss of US$399m, the US$1.7b market-cap company alleviated its loss by moving closer towards its target of breakeven. The most pressing concern for investors is Novavax's path to profitability – when will it breakeven? Below we will provide a high-level summary of the industry analysts’ expectations for the company.
Check out our latest analysis for Novavax
Consensus from 6 of the American Biotechs analysts is that Novavax is on the verge of breakeven. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2023, before turning a profit of US$63m in 2024. The company is therefore projected to breakeven around 12 months from now or less. How fast will the company have to grow to reach the consensus forecasts that anticipate breakeven by 2024? Working backwards from analyst estimates, it turns out that they expect the company to grow 70% year-on-year, on average, which is rather optimistic! If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.
Underlying developments driving Novavax's growth isn’t the focus of this broad overview, though, bear in mind that by and large biotechs, depending on the stage of product development, have irregular periods of cash flow. So, a high growth rate is not out of the ordinary, particularly when a company is in a period of investment.
One thing we would like to bring into light with Novavax is it currently has negative equity on its balance sheet. This can sometimes arise from accounting methods used to deal with accumulated losses from prior years, which are viewed as liabilities carried forward until it cancels out in the future. These losses tend to occur only on paper, however, in other cases it can be forewarning.
Next Steps:
This article is not intended to be a comprehensive analysis on Novavax, so if you are interested in understanding the company at a deeper level, take a look at Novavax's company page on Simply Wall St. We've also put together a list of essential aspects you should further examine:
Valuation: What is Novavax worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Novavax is currently mispriced by the market.
Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Novavax’s board and the CEO’s background.
Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com