Advertisement
New Zealand markets close in 2 hours 52 minutes
  • NZX 50

    11,761.83
    -74.21 (-0.63%)
     
  • NZD/USD

    0.5866
    -0.0039 (-0.67%)
     
  • NZD/EUR

    0.5522
    -0.0022 (-0.40%)
     
  • ALL ORDS

    7,777.70
    -121.20 (-1.53%)
     
  • ASX 200

    7,522.60
    -119.50 (-1.56%)
     
  • OIL

    85.42
    +2.69 (+3.25%)
     
  • GOLD

    2,425.10
    +27.10 (+1.13%)
     
  • NASDAQ

    17,394.31
    -99.31 (-0.57%)
     
  • FTSE

    7,877.05
    +29.06 (+0.37%)
     
  • Dow Jones

    37,775.38
    +22.07 (+0.06%)
     
  • DAX

    17,837.40
    +67.38 (+0.38%)
     
  • Hang Seng

    16,193.51
    -192.36 (-1.17%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    36,925.75
    -1,153.95 (-3.03%)
     
  • NZD/JPY

    90.3300
    -0.9240 (-1.01%)
     

Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. (NYSE:FDP) Current Share Price Momentum?

Fresh Del Monte Produce (NYSE:FDP) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 10% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. In this article, we decided to focus on Fresh Del Monte Produce's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Fresh Del Monte Produce

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

ADVERTISEMENT

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Fresh Del Monte Produce is:

5.5% = US$104m ÷ US$1.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to July 2021).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.06 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Fresh Del Monte Produce's Earnings Growth And 5.5% ROE

When you first look at it, Fresh Del Monte Produce's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 11%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 31% seen by Fresh Del Monte Produce over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

That being said, we compared Fresh Del Monte Produce's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 1.3% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
past-earnings-growth

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Fresh Del Monte Produce fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Fresh Del Monte Produce Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 25% (that is, a retention ratio of 75%), the fact that Fresh Del Monte Produce's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

In addition, Fresh Del Monte Produce has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Fresh Del Monte Produce can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Having said that, we studied the latest analyst forecasts, and found that analysts are expecting the company's earnings growth to improve slightly. The company's existing shareholders might have some respite after all. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.