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US Dollar Technical Analysis: Follow-Through Still Absent

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Talking Points:

  • US Dollar Technical Strategy: Holding Long via Mirror Trader Basket **

  • Support: 11740, 11653, 11513

  • Resistance:11876, 11963, 12103

The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index is struggling to find follow-through after falling as expected having formed a bearish Evening Star candle pattern. Near-term support is at 11740, the 14.6% Fibonacci retracement, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 23.6% level at 11653. Alternatively, a reversal above the 11854-76 zone (14.6% Fib expansion, March 2009 high) opens the door for a challenge of the 23.6% expansion at 11963.

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Our long-term fundamental outlook calls for a broadly stronger US Dollar against its major currency counterparts. With that in mind, we are holding long via theMirror Trader US Dollar currency basket.

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US Dollar Technical Analysis: Follow-Through Still Absent
US Dollar Technical Analysis: Follow-Through Still Absent

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com


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