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Should We Worry About Vista Group International Limited’s (NZSE:VGL) P/E Ratio?

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This article is for investors who would like to improve their understanding of price to earnings ratios (P/E ratios). To keep it practical, we’ll show how Vista Group International Limited’s (NZSE:VGL) P/E ratio could help you assess the value on offer. Vista Group International has a P/E ratio of 55.58, based on the last twelve months. In other words, at today’s prices, investors are paying NZ$55.58 for every NZ$1 in prior year profit.

View our latest analysis for Vista Group International

How Do You Calculate A P/E Ratio?

The formula for P/E is:

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Price to Earnings Ratio = Price per Share ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS)

Or for Vista Group International:

P/E of 55.58 = NZ$3.95 ÷ NZ$0.071 (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2018.)

Is A High Price-to-Earnings Ratio Good?

A higher P/E ratio means that investors are paying a higher price for each NZ$1 of company earnings. That isn’t necessarily good or bad, but a high P/E implies relatively high expectations of what a company can achieve in the future.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Earnings growth rates have a big influence on P/E ratios. That’s because companies that grow earnings per share quickly will rapidly increase the ‘E’ in the equation. That means even if the current P/E is high, it will reduce over time if the share price stays flat. So while a stock may look expensive based on past earnings, it could be cheap based on future earnings.

Vista Group International saw earnings per share decrease by 75% last year. But it has grown its earnings per share by 30% per year over the last five years.

How Does Vista Group International’s P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

We can get an indication of market expectations by looking at the P/E ratio. You can see in the image below that the average P/E (34.7) for companies in the software industry is lower than Vista Group International’s P/E.

NZSE:VGL PE PEG Gauge February 8th 19
NZSE:VGL PE PEG Gauge February 8th 19

Vista Group International’s P/E tells us that market participants think the company will perform better than its industry peers, going forward. Shareholders are clearly optimistic, but the future is always uncertain. So investors should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

Don’t Forget: The P/E Does Not Account For Debt or Bank Deposits

Don’t forget that the P/E ratio considers market capitalization. In other words, it does not consider any debt or cash that the company may have on the balance sheet. In theory, a company can lower its future P/E ratio by using cash or debt to invest in growth.

Such spending might be good or bad, overall, but the key point here is that you need to look at debt to understand the P/E ratio in context.

How Does Vista Group International’s Debt Impact Its P/E Ratio?

The extra options and safety that comes with Vista Group International’s NZ$14m net cash position means that it deserves a higher P/E than it would if it had a lot of net debt.

The Verdict On Vista Group International’s P/E Ratio

Vista Group International trades on a P/E ratio of 55.6, which is multiples above the NZ market average of 16.9. The recent drop in earnings per share might keep value investors away, but the net cash position means the company has time to improve: and the high P/E suggests the market thinks it will.

Investors should be looking to buy stocks that the market is wrong about. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, ‘In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.’ So this free report on the analyst consensus forecasts could help you make a master move on this stock.

But note: Vista Group International may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20).

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.