|Day's range||0.715 - 0.723|
|52-week range||0.7022 - 0.8136|
The Australian dollar initially tried to rally during the week but found enough resistance at the 0.7250 level to turn around and fall. Not only did it fall though, it ended up forming an inverted hammer.
The Australian dollar broke down during the session on Friday, as we have negative numbers coming out of China to suggest that the economy may be slowing down. Ultimately, I think that if we break down below the bottom of the candle stick for Friday, we continue to go lower, perhaps reaching down to the 0.70 level.
The Euro continued to trade sideways during the Thursday’s session, as the market looks confused with the Federal Reserve’s stance and some of its comments lately on the interest rate hike. The 1.13 level underneath and 1.1450 level above will be the major support and resistance point for the market. The British Pound rallied a bit during yesterday’s session but is likely to experience significant resistance above as both 200 Day EMA line and 1.27 level has turned resistive.
Some weak numbers out of China this morning weighed on the Aussie Dollar and Kiwi Dollar early, with a busy economic calendar putting focus on the EUR & USD
It’s a big day for Europe, with the ECB Press Conference to drive the EUR and Theresa May’s last ditch efforts in Brussels to influence the GBP.
The Euro tried rallying higher during the Tuesday’s session but failed to break above. The weakness in the market is due to the issues surrounding the European Union which will continue to attract sellers. In the hourly chart, the market has formed a symmetrical triangle, and if it breaks below the bottom of the uptrend line, then it can move much lower probably towards the 1.11 level.
The Australian dollar rallied towards the top of the shooting star from the Monday session, which of course is a sign of strength. However, there is a certain amount of resistance above there that should continue to cause issues, so I would not be surprised to see this market roll over a bit from here.
Considering a month long symmetrical triangle formation on EURUSD chart, the pair is less likely to register much momentum till it trades within the present range of 1.1305 and the 1.1435. Though, comparative strength of the US Dollar favor brighter chances of the pair’s decline than the otherwise, which in-turn highlights the importance of 1.1260 and the 1.1215 supports after 1.1305 break. In case prices continue drowning past-1.1215, the 1.1110 & 1.1080 may become Bears’ favorites. Meanwhile, an upside break of 1.1435 can trigger the pair’s rise to 1. ...
The Euro continues to witness a lot of selling pressure above the 1.14 level and on Monday’s session, it pulled back significantly after reaching the 1.1450 level above. The GBP has broken the major support level at 1.27 level in the yesterday’s session, reaching down towards the 1.25 level. The AUD hovered just above its important support level at 0.72 level in the yesterday’s session as a lot of headlines crossing the market suggesting US and China struggle on inking any trade pacts.
The Australian dollar gaps slightly lower during the trading session on Monday, but by the time the Americans came on board we had already seen that gap filled. The question now is how do we react to the Sino-American relations?
In my opinion, the single biggest influence on the Aussie and Kiwi at this time is U.S.-China relations. Even a Wall Street Journal article saying the Fed is likely to take a “wait-and-see” approach to future rate hikes failed to bring buyers into the AUD/USD and NZD/USD. Although we’re likely to see periodic rallies tied to oversold conditions or economic data, I don’t think the Australian and New Zealand Dollars will be able to mount a strong rally as long as there is uncertainty over the trade talks.
A shift in sentiment towards FED monetary policy and trade war jitters pin back the Greenback as the markets prepare for the next Brexit saga.
Based on last week’s close at .7187, the direction of the AUD/USD this week is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the 50% level at .7207.
The direction of the AUD/USD and NZD/USD this week will likely be determined by investor demand for risk. And this is likely to be controlled by U.S. China relations. There are no major reports from Australia and New Zealand this week.
According to the WSJ, members of the U.S. Federal Reserve are reportedly debating whether to signal a “wait-and-see” approach after a probable hike to the central bank’s benchmark rate at its December meeting.
The Australian dollar fell during most of the week but found a bit of support at the same area we have seen recently, the 0.72 level. The downtrend line that had been intact for so long has been broken, and it now looks as if it may offer support.
The pair failed to rally higher during the Thursday’s session as the 1.1350 level is attracting a lot of attention and also providing support to the market. The market today will remain choppy because of the job figures ahead and if the numbers come out positive, then it could break the market lower towards the 1.13 level and much lower. …Read MoreGBP/USD
The Australian dollar fell again during trading on Thursday as the arrest of a prominent Chinese businesswoman has caused concerns as to whether or not the United States and China will be able to flush out some type of deal.
Considering AUDUSD’s dip beneath a month-old ascending trend-line, the pair is likely to visit the 0.7180 support but the 0.7150 horizontal-stop could confine its further downside. In case there prevails additional weakness on the part of the pair past-0.7150, the 0.7120 and the 0.7050 seem crucial rest-points to watch as break of which highlights the 0.7020 and the 0.7000 come-back. On the upside, the 0.7240 and the 0.7260 can restrict the pair’s near-term advances ahead of fueling it to 0.7275-80 region. Moreover, successful break of 0.7280 may escalate the recovery to the 0. ...
The pair hovered around the 1.1350 level mostly during the Wednesday’s session as the 1.14 level above continues to be massively resistive. The market is struck between the 1.13 and 1.15 range for quite some time now and rallies are proving to be a selling opportunity in the market. The market will continue to trade between this range until it breaks above the resistive 1.15 level with bullish momentum. …Read MoreGBP/USD
Based on the early price action and the current price at .7228, the direction of the AUD/USD the rest of the session is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the main 50% level at .7252.
With Australian and New Zealand Dollar investors focusing primarily on U.S.-China trade relations and a risk-off environment, today’s U.S. economic events may take a backseat. Look for further downside pressure today especially if U.S. equity markets continue to weaken.
The Australian dollar fell during the day on Wednesday as people are starting to question whether or not the US/Chinese trade war is going to get any better anytime soon. It looks as if the Australian dollar is going to remain very sensitive to the Sino-American relations, so pay attention to this pair and of course headlines involving both China and the United States.
The pair managed to break above the 1.14 level initially during the yesterday’s trade but due to significant resistance above, it rolled over to reach down towards the 1.13 level again. The market continues to be volatile amid concerns surrounding the EU related to its economic activity and Italian debt crisis. Going forward in the short to medium term, the pair will continue to consolidate between the 1.13 and 1.15 level. …Read MoreGBP/USD
The AUD/USD is under pressure on Wednesday after investors pushed potential rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia further into the future in the wake of disappointing third-quarter economic growth. Economists expect the central bank to keep the cash rate on hold at 1.5 percent until at least the fourth quarter of 2019.