|Day's range||1,343.90 - 1,348.90|
China spent millions of dollars exploring an oil play in Sudan with underwhelming results, but it seems they may have made a billion dollar mistake
Gold prices rose ~3% year-to-date (or YTD) after rising ~13% in 2017. Gold prices are affected by a number of factors, including rate hike expectations, trade war fears, the US dollar, and increasing volatility.
Commodities rallied furiously Thursday morning, but leveled off by the afternoon -- a lesson for any investor to be wary of any asset class that rises too much, too fast. Brent crude gained 0.41% to $73 per barrel, West Texas Intermediate was roughly flat ending the day at around $68. Earlier in the session, Brent and WTI had both been up more than 1%.
Gold prices continued to trade sideways, as U.S. yields gained traction on Thursday buoyed the greenback and paving the way for lower gold prices. Strong jobless claims and a solid Philly fed survey buoyed the dollar. U.S. initial jobless claims dipped 1k to 232k in the week ended April 14 after falling 9k to 233k in the prior week.
Recent market unrest has had a significant effect on precious metals and the US dollar, which influences dollar-denominated precious metals and mining stocks. In this part of the series, we’ll look at miners’ RSI (relative strength index) scores and implied volatility. The miners we’ve selected for our analysis are Wheaton Precious Metals (SLW), Randgold Resources (GOLD), AngloGold Ashanti (AU), and IAMGOLD (IAG). In the last 30 days, miners’ performance has been mixed. GOLD and AU have fallen 2.5% and 0.11%, respectively, while SLW and IAG have risen 6.8% and 13.2%.
In this part of our series, we’ll look at the correlation between gold and four mining stocks: Franco-Nevada (FNV), Coeur Mining (CDE), Kinross Gold (KGC), and Eldorado Gold (EGO). Mining stocks mostly move with gold prices, but not always. Among these four miners, Kinross has shown the highest correlation with gold this year, while Eldorado Gold has seen a negative correlation.
Precious metals had another up day as gold futures for April expiration rose 0.48% on Friday, April 13, closing at $1,344.80 per ounce. Silver rose 1.1%, ending the day at $16.60 per ounce.
Usually, precious-metal-mining companies follow precious metals. Precious metals have risen over the past few days, supporting mining companies.
Unrest in Syria played a role in precious metals rising on Friday, April 13. The day before, Donald Trump discussed how to address a recent Syrian poison gas attack. He threatened missile strikes, which were eventually carried out, on Saturday.
Crude oil markets rally to get on Wednesday, as we continue to show signs of strength. Part of the reason of course is the concern about tensions in the Middle East, and I think that ultimately, we will find reasons to go higher, at least in the short term.