Yahoo Finance How to Find Strong Basic Materials Stocks Slated for Positive Earnings Surprises
Wall Street watches a company's quarterly report closely to understand as much as possible about its recent performance and what to expect going forward. Of course, one figure often stands out among the rest: earnings.
The earnings figure itself is key, but a beat or miss on the bottom line can sometimes be just as, if not more, important. Therefore, investors should consider paying close attention to these earnings surprises, as a big beat can help a stock climb even higher.
2 Stocks to Add to Your Watchlist
The Zacks Earnings ESP is more formally known as the Expected Surprise Prediction, and it aims to grab the inside track on the latest analyst estimate revisions ahead of a company's report. The idea is relatively intuitive as a newer projection might be based on more complete information. The ESP is calculated by comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the percentage difference between the two giving us the Zacks ESP figure.
Now that we understand what the ESP is and how beneficial it can be, let's dive into a stock that currently fits the bill. Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) earns a Zacks Rank #3 right now and its Most Accurate Estimate sits at $0.63 a share, just 24 days from its upcoming earnings release on July 18, 2024.
Freeport-McMoRan's Earnings ESP sits at 35.78%, which, as explained above, is calculated by taking the percentage difference between the $0.63 Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.46.
FCX is one of just a large database of Basic Materials stocks with positive ESPs. Another solid-looking stock is Nutrien (NTR).
Nutrien is a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock, and is getting ready to report earnings on August 7, 2024. NTR's Most Accurate Estimate sits at $2.17 a share 44 days from its next earnings release.
For Nutrien, the percentage difference between its Most Accurate Estimate and its Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.17 is 0.06%.
Because both stocks hold a positive Earnings ESP, FCX and NTR could potentially post earnings beats in their next reports.
Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported
Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>
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Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) : Free Stock Analysis Report
Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) : Free Stock Analysis Report
