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Is CNOOC Limited (HKG:883) Attractive At Its Current PE Ratio?

I am writing today to help inform people who are new to the stock market and want to learn about the link between company’s fundamentals and stock market performance.

CNOOC Limited (HKG:883) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 18.1, which is higher than the industry average of 12.2. Though this might seem to be a negative, you might change your mind after I explain the assumptions behind the P/E ratio. In this article, I will explain what the P/E ratio is as well as what you should look out for when using it.

See our latest analysis for CNOOC

What you need to know about the P/E ratio

SEHK:883 PE PEG Gauge October 3rd 18
SEHK:883 PE PEG Gauge October 3rd 18

P/E is often used for relative valuation since earnings power is a chief driver of investment value. By comparing a stock’s price per share to its earnings per share, we are able to see how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.

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P/E Calculation for 883

Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

883 Price-Earnings Ratio = CN¥13.73 ÷ CN¥0.759 = 18.1x

On its own, the P/E ratio doesn’t tell you much; however, it becomes extremely useful when you compare it with other similar companies. We preferably want to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar features to 883, such as capital structure and profitability. A quick method of creating a peer group is to use companies in the same industry, which is what I will do. 883’s P/E of 18.1 is higher than its industry peers (12.2), which implies that each dollar of 883’s earnings is being overvalued by investors. This multiple is a median of profitable companies of 24 Oil and Gas companies in HK including Chinese People Holdings, JTF International Holdings and NewOcean Energy Holdings. You could think of it like this: the market is pricing 883 as if it is a stronger company than the average of its industry group.

Assumptions to watch out for

Before you jump to conclusions it is important to realise that there are assumptions in this analysis. Firstly, that our peer group contains companies that are similar to 883. If this isn’t the case, the difference in P/E could be due to other factors. For example, CNOOC Limited could be growing more quickly than the companies we’re comparing it with. In that case it would deserve a higher P/E ratio. Of course, it is possible that the stocks we are comparing with 883 are not fairly valued. Just because it is trading on a higher P/E ratio than its peers does not mean it must be overvalued. After all, the peer group could be undervalued.

What this means for you:

You may have already conducted fundamental analysis on the stock as a shareholder, so its current overvaluation could signal a potential selling opportunity to reduce your exposure to 883. Now that you understand the ins and outs of the PE metric, you should know to bear in mind its limitations before you make an investment decision. Remember that basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PE ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I urge you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for 883’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for 883’s outlook.

  2. Past Track Record: Has 883 been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of 883’s historicals for more clarity.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.