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Insperity, Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

The quarterly results for Insperity, Inc. (NYSE:NSP) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. Revenues were US$1.8b, approximately in line with expectations, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) performed substantially better. EPS of US$2.08 were also better than expected, beating analyst predictions by 14%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for Insperity

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earnings-and-revenue-growth

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Insperity's four analysts is for revenues of US$6.72b in 2024. This would reflect a reasonable 3.0% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are expected to dive 43% to US$2.33 in the same period. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$6.86b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.24 in 2024. So it's pretty clear that while sentiment around revenues has declined following the latest results, the analysts are now more bullish on the company's earnings power.

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The consensus price target fell 5.8% to US$107, with the analysts signalling that the weaker revenue outlook was a more powerful indicator than the upgraded EPS forecasts. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Insperity, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$125 and the most bearish at US$95.00 per share. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Insperity's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 4.1% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 11% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 5.6% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Insperity.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Insperity following these results. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. Still, earnings per share are more important to value creation for shareholders. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Insperity going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here..

We also provide an overview of the Insperity Board and CEO remuneration and length of tenure at the company, and whether insiders have been buying the stock, here.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.