Advertisement
New Zealand markets close in 4 hours 23 minutes
  • NZX 50

    11,744.96
    -38.43 (-0.33%)
     
  • NZD/USD

    0.6123
    -0.0000 (-0.01%)
     
  • NZD/EUR

    0.5642
    +0.0004 (+0.07%)
     
  • ALL ORDS

    8,044.60
    +45.40 (+0.57%)
     
  • ASX 200

    7,772.90
    +45.30 (+0.59%)
     
  • OIL

    77.90
    +0.18 (+0.23%)
     
  • GOLD

    2,338.00
    +3.50 (+0.15%)
     
  • NASDAQ

    18,808.35
    +184.95 (+0.99%)
     
  • FTSE

    8,317.59
    -21.64 (-0.26%)
     
  • Dow Jones

    39,069.59
    +4.29 (+0.01%)
     
  • DAX

    18,693.37
    +2.07 (+0.01%)
     
  • Hang Seng

    18,608.94
    -259.76 (-1.38%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    38,713.55
    +67.44 (+0.17%)
     
  • NZD/JPY

    96.0200
    -0.0660 (-0.07%)
     

Shareholders in Genel Energy (LON:GENL) are in the red if they invested five years ago

Genel Energy plc (LON:GENL) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 18% in the last quarter. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. You would have done a lot better buying an index fund, since the stock has dropped 63% in that half decade.

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

See our latest analysis for Genel Energy

Because Genel Energy made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.

ADVERTISEMENT

Over half a decade Genel Energy reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 4.8% for each year. That's not what investors generally want to see. With neither profit nor revenue growth, the loss of 10% per year doesn't really surprise us. The chance of imminent investor enthusiasm for this stock seems slimmer than Louise Brooks. Ultimately, it may be worth watching - should revenue pick up, the share price might follow.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Genel Energy will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between Genel Energy's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Genel Energy shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 45%, over the last 5 years, isn't as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 2.4% in the last year, Genel Energy shareholders lost 29%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 8% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. If you want to research this stock further, the data on insider buying is an obvious place to start. You can click here to see who has been buying shares - and the price they paid.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on British exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.