Advertisement
New Zealand markets open in 2 hours 57 minutes
  • NZX 50

    11,874.04
    +6.46 (+0.05%)
     
  • NZD/USD

    0.5965
    +0.0037 (+0.62%)
     
  • ALL ORDS

    7,849.40
    +17.50 (+0.22%)
     
  • OIL

    79.11
    +0.11 (+0.14%)
     
  • GOLD

    2,317.00
    +6.00 (+0.26%)
     

How to Find Strong Retail-Wholesale Stocks Slated for Positive Earnings Surprises

Wall Street watches a company's quarterly report closely to understand as much as possible about its recent performance and what to expect going forward. Of course, one figure often stands out among the rest: earnings.

We know earnings results are vital, but how a company performs compared to bottom line expectations can be even more important when it comes to stock prices, especially in the near-term. This means that investors might want to take advantage of these earnings surprises.

2 Stocks to Add to Your Watchlist

The Zacks Expected Surprise Prediction, or ESP, works by locking in on the most up-to-date analyst earnings revisions because they can be more accurate than estimates from weeks or even months before the actual release date. The thinking is pretty straightforward: analysts who provide earnings estimates closer to the report are likely to have more information. With this in mind, the Expected Surprise Prediction compares the Most Accurate Estimate (being the most recent) against the overall Zacks Consensus Estimate. The percentage difference provides the ESP figure.

ADVERTISEMENT

The last thing we will do today, now that we have a grasp on the ESP and how powerful of a tool it can be, is to look at a qualifying stock. Wingstop (WING) holds a Zacks Rank #2 at the moment and its Most Accurate Estimate comes in at $0.78 a share 12 days away from its upcoming earnings release on May 1, 2024.

By taking the percentage difference between the $0.78 Most Accurate Estimate and the $0.73 Zacks Consensus Estimate, Wingstop has an Earnings ESP of 6.2%.

WING is one of just a large database of Retail-Wholesale stocks with positive ESPs. Another solid-looking stock is Amazon (AMZN).

Amazon is a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock, and is getting ready to report earnings on April 30, 2024. AMZN's Most Accurate Estimate sits at $0.91 a share 11 days from its next earnings release.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Amazon is $0.82, and when you take the percentage difference between that number and its Most Accurate Estimate, you get the Earnings ESP figure of 11.66%.

WING and AMZN's positive ESP figures tell us that both stocks have a good chance at beating analyst expectations in their next earnings report.

Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported

Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report

Wingstop Inc. (WING) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) : Free Stock Analysis Report

To read this article on Zacks.com click here.

Zacks Investment Research