Advertisement
New Zealand markets open in 6 hours 37 minutes
  • NZX 50

    11,675.99
    -59.72 (-0.51%)
     
  • NZD/USD

    0.6101
    -0.0008 (-0.13%)
     
  • ALL ORDS

    8,120.20
    -11.90 (-0.15%)
     
  • OIL

    79.40
    -0.40 (-0.50%)
     
  • GOLD

    2,435.50
    -3.00 (-0.12%)
     

USD/JPY Price Forecast – US Dollar Continues to Drift Lower

The US dollar has initially tried to rally during the trading session on Monday, but then broke down below the ¥103 level to continue the overall downtrend. That being said, this is a pair that is choppy to say the least so we will get the occasional bounce that you can look towards selling into. The 50 day EMA sits just above the ¥104 level, which of course is a large, round, psychologically significant figure. That being said, I do believe that the 50 day EMA will continue to cause resistance, extending all the way to the 200 day EMA which is at roughly ¥106.

USD/JPY Video 05.01.2021

As far as a target is concerned, I still believe that this pair is going to go looking towards the ¥102 level, but it is going to take some time to get down there, and therefore think you need to continue to focus on this as a short-term market more than anything else, but most certainly we have a downward bias in general, so there is no point in trying to fight that. That being said, I think that people will look towards rallies as more opportunities. The US dollar course is losing due to the fact that there is a significant amount of stimulus coming out the United States, and of course you can also make an argument for the idea of the Japanese yen being looked at as a “safety currency” as well. Ultimately, I have no interest in buying this pair anytime soon.

ADVERTISEMENT

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

This article was originally posted on FX Empire

More From FXEMPIRE: