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CH Robinson Worldwide Inc (NASDAQ:CHRW): Cash Is King

If you are currently a shareholder in CH Robinson Worldwide Inc (NASDAQ:CHRW), or considering investing in the stock, you need to examine how the business generates cash, and how it is reinvested. After investment, what’s left over is what belongs to you, the investor. This also determines how much the stock is worth. Today we will examine CHRW’s ability to generate cash flows, as well as the level of capital expenditure it is expected to incur over the next couple of years, which will result in how much money goes to you.

See our latest analysis for C.H. Robinson Worldwide

What is free cash flow?

Free cash flow (FCF) is the amount of cash C.H. Robinson Worldwide has left after it pays off its expenses, including its net capital expenditures, which is what the company needs to spend each year to maintain or grow its business operations.

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The two ways to assess whether C.H. Robinson Worldwide’s FCF is sufficient, is to compare the FCF yield to the market index yield, as well as determine whether the top-line operating cash flows will continue to grow.

Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flows – Net Capital Expenditure

Free Cash Flow Yield = Free Cash Flow / Enterprise Value

where Enterprise Value = Market Capitalisation + Net Debt

Along with a positive operating cash flow, C.H. Robinson Worldwide also generates a positive free cash flow. However, the yield of 2.83% is not sufficient to compensate for the level of risk investors are taking on. This is because C.H. Robinson Worldwide’s yield is well-below the market yield, in addition to serving higher risk compared to the well-diversified market index.

NasdaqGS:CHRW Net Worth August 29th 18
NasdaqGS:CHRW Net Worth August 29th 18

What’s the cash flow outlook for C.H. Robinson Worldwide?

Does CHRW’s future look brighter in terms of its ability to generate higher operating cash flows? This can be estimated by examining the trend of the company’s operating cash flow moving forward. In the next couple of years, the company is expected to grow its cash from operations at a double-digit rate of 55.0%, ramping up from its current levels of US$542.5m to US$840.6m in three years’ time. Although this seems impressive, breaking down into year-on-year growth rates, CHRW’s operating cash flow growth is expected to decline from a rate of 35.8% in the upcoming year, to 7.0% by the end of the third year. However the overall picture seems encouraging, should capital expenditure levels maintain at an appropriate level.

Next Steps:

Although its positive operating cash flow, and high future growth, is appealing, the low free cash flow yield is unattractive. This is because you would be better compensated in terms of cash yield, by investing in the market index, as well as take on lower diversification risk. Keep in mind that cash is only one aspect of investment analysis and there are other important fundamentals to assess. I suggest you continue to research C.H. Robinson Worldwide to get a better picture of the company by looking at:

  1. Valuation: What is CHRW worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether CHRW is currently mispriced by the market.

  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on C.H. Robinson Worldwide’s board and the CEO’s back ground.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: If you believe you should cushion your portfolio with something less risky, scroll through our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.