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Have You Considered This Before Investing In General Dynamics Corporation (NYSE:GD)?

General Dynamics Corporation (NYSE:GD) shareholders, and potential investors, need to understand how much cash the business makes from its core operational activities, as well as how much is invested back into the business. After investment, what’s left over is what belongs to you, the investor. This also determines how much the stock is worth. I will take you through GD’s cash flow health and the risk-return concept based on the stock’s cash flow yield, using the most recent financial data. This will help you think about the company from a cash perspective, which is a crucial factor to investing.

View our latest analysis for General Dynamics

Is General Dynamics generating enough cash?

Free cash flow (FCF) is the amount of cash General Dynamics has left after it pays off its expenses, including its net capital expenditures, which is what the company needs to spend each year to maintain or grow its business operations.

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There are two methods I will use to evaluate the quality of General Dynamics’s FCF: firstly, I will measure its FCF yield relative to the market index yield; secondly, I will examine whether its operating cash flow will continue to grow into the future, which will give us a sense of sustainability.

Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flows – Net Capital Expenditure

Free Cash Flow Yield = Free Cash Flow / Enterprise Value

where Enterprise Value = Market Capitalisation + Net Debt

Along with a positive operating cash flow, General Dynamics also generates a positive free cash flow. However, the yield of 1.5% is not sufficient to compensate for the level of risk investors are taking on. This is because General Dynamics’s yield is well-below the market yield, in addition to serving higher risk compared to the well-diversified market index.

NYSE:GD Net Worth September 21st 18
NYSE:GD Net Worth September 21st 18

Is General Dynamics’s yield sustainable?

Does GD’s future look brighter in terms of its ability to generate higher operating cash flows? This can be estimated by examining the trend of the company’s operating cash flow moving forward. Over the next couple years, the company is expected to grow its cash from operations at a double-digit rate of 57.2%, ramping up from its current levels of US$3.13b to US$4.92b in three years’ time. Although this seems impressive, breaking down into year-on-year growth rates, GD’s operating cash flow growth is expected to decline from a rate of 30.9% in the upcoming year, to 8.2% by the end of the third year. However the overall picture seems encouraging, should capital expenditure levels maintain at an appropriate level.

Next Steps:

Low free cash flow yield means you are not currently well-compensated for the risk you’re taking on by holding onto General Dynamics relative to a well-diversified market index. However, the high growth in operating cash flow may change the tides in the future. Now you know to keep cash flows in mind, You should continue to research General Dynamics to get a better picture of the company by looking at:

  1. Valuation: What is GD worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether GD is currently mispriced by the market.

  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on General Dynamics’s board and the CEO’s back ground.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: If you believe you should cushion your portfolio with something less risky, scroll through our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.