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Earnings are growing at FLEETCOR Technologies (NYSE:FLT) but shareholders still don't like its prospects

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term FLEETCOR Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:FLT) shareholders, since the share price is down 36% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 31%. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 31% lower in that time. Even worse, it's down 16% in about a month, which isn't fun at all. However, we note the price may have been impacted by the broader market, which is down 9.0% in the same time period.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for FLEETCOR Technologies isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for FLEETCOR Technologies

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

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During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, FLEETCOR Technologies actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 6.9% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 5.4% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating FLEETCOR Technologies further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

FLEETCOR Technologies is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. If you are thinking of buying or selling FLEETCOR Technologies stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that FLEETCOR Technologies shareholders are down 31% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 20%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 3% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with FLEETCOR Technologies (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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