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Have Investors Priced In Summerset Group Holdings Limited’s (NZSE:SUM) Growth?

Summerset Group Holdings Limited (NZSE:SUM), a healthcare company based in New Zealand, saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the NZSE over the last few months. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Summerset Group Holdings’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists. Check out our latest analysis for Summerset Group Holdings

What is Summerset Group Holdings worth?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my relative valuation model. I’ve used the price-to-equity ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 7.52x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 9.39x, which means if you buy Summerset Group Holdings today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Summerset Group Holdings should be trading at this level in the long run, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Furthermore, it seems like Summerset Group Holdings’s share price is quite stable, which means there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s fairly valued. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What kind of growth will Summerset Group Holdings generate?

NZSE:SUM Future Profit June 24th 18
NZSE:SUM Future Profit June 24th 18

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for Summerset Group Holdings, at least in the near future.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? SUM seems fairly priced right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on SUM, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

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Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on SUM for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystalize your views on SUM should the price fluctuate below its true value.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Summerset Group Holdings. You can find everything you need to know about Summerset Group Holdings in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Summerset Group Holdings, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.