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Results: CACI International Inc Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

A week ago, CACI International Inc (NYSE:CACI) came out with a strong set of third-quarter numbers that could potentially lead to a re-rate of the stock. The company beat expectations with revenues of US$1.9b arriving 4.4% ahead of forecasts. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) were US$5.13, 7.1% ahead of estimates. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for CACI International

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Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for CACI International from twelve analysts is for revenues of US$7.70b in 2025. If met, it would imply a satisfactory 5.1% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to step up 15% to US$20.20. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$7.66b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$20.50 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

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The analysts reconfirmed their price target of US$406, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on CACI International, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$464 and the most bearish at US$355 per share. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting CACI International is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that CACI International's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 4.1% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 7.0% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 6.3% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that CACI International is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that CACI International's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple CACI International analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Before you take the next step you should know about the 1 warning sign for CACI International that we have uncovered.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.